Stridometrics
Quantitative race modeling

A calibrated win probability for every horse in the field.

Stridometrics models every race and turns the field into calibrated win chances, best-bet highlights, and backtested strategies — with the win probability, projected pace, and edge shown for every horse.

Cross-validated tested on held-out races
Calibrated confidence matches results
Transparent win prob, pace & edge per horse

Free on a selection of races for a limited time. No card required to look around.

Bay Meadows · Race 4
6f · Allowance · 12 MTP
Best bet
Pace · Collapse likely Top Pick · Strong 2.4×
1
Silver Stride
Win 38.2%
+12.1% EV 2.41
2
Gallop Theory
Win 21.7%
+5.4% EV 1.38
3
Closing Number
Win 13.1%
+1.1% EV 0.92

Numbers that do the talking

~2×
Better exotic returns than the board

In backtesting, trifectas built from the model's ranking returned about double the typical ROI of the same tickets built from the board's odds — same races, net of the track's cut.

~3x
Confidence you can read

Horses the model rates 40%+ to win actually won about half the time in backtests — nearly 3x the field average.

+ROI
Exotic strategies that backtest positive

Discover backtested multi-race and exotic strategies with positive hit rates and returns — surfaced by the model, not guesswork.

50%+
Win strategies with an edge

Backtested win-bet strategies reached 50%+ hit rates and double-digit returns in their strongest segments.

Figures reflect historical backtested results across cross-validated data. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Provided for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Everything you need to find the edge

Win probabilities for every horse

Each runner gets a calibrated chance to win, so you can see at a glance where the value is — not just who the favorite is.

Best-bet highlights

We surface the spots the model likes most, with clear context, so you spend less time digging and more time deciding.

Pace dynamics & projected collapses

Dedicated models read how a race is likely to unfold — early speed, pressure, and projected pace collapses that reshape the finish.

Exotic & multi-race strategy ideas

Discover backtested strategies for exotics and multi-race wagers, framed as ideas you can take, leave, or adapt to your own play.

Built on serious modeling

An ensemble of neural networks, cross-validated and judged on held-out races it never trained on.

How it works

Frequently asked questions

How does the free trial work?

Start with a free look at a selection of races for a limited time. No charge, no card required to look around. Upgrade to a full-access pass whenever you're ready.

Do you place bets for me?

No. Stridometrics provides analysis, picks, and suggestions as opinions for informational and entertainment purposes. You decide what to do with them and place any wagers yourself, elsewhere.

What does a subscription cover?

A pass covers every track we model for the period you choose — a day, a week, or a month. No per-track add-ons. See the pricing page for details.

Can I cancel anytime?

Yes. Passes simply expire at the end of their period; there is no long-term commitment.

Are the statistics real?

Yes — they come from our own backtests on historical, cross-validated data. As with anything, past performance does not guarantee future results.

Ready to handicap with an edge?

Start free on a selection of races, then unlock every track.